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Консультация № 187023
23.12.2012, 17:47
99.00 руб.
0
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1
Здравствуйте, уважаемые эксперты! Прошу вас ответить на следующий вопрос:
[size=4]ЗАДАЧА №1[/size]
[size=4]ЗАДАЧА №1[/size]
Обсуждение
23.12.2012, 17:58
общий
это ответ
Здравствуйте, Посетитель - 395735!
Событие А - деталь стандартная.
Гипотезы:
Н1 - деталь из первого набора,
Н2 - деталь из второго набора.
Вероятности гипотез:
Р(Н1)=Р(Н2)=1/2.
Условные вероятности события А:
Р(А|Н1)=0,9,
Р(А|Н2)=0,8.
Используя формулу полной вероятности, находим искомую вероятность:
Р(А)=Р(Н1)[$183$]Р(А|Н1)+Р(Н2)[$183$]Р(А|Н2)=(1/2)[$183$]0,9+(1/2)[$183$]0,8=1,7/2=0,85.
Событие А - деталь стандартная.
Гипотезы:
Н1 - деталь из первого набора,
Н2 - деталь из второго набора.
Вероятности гипотез:
Р(Н1)=Р(Н2)=1/2.
Условные вероятности события А:
Р(А|Н1)=0,9,
Р(А|Н2)=0,8.
Используя формулу полной вероятности, находим искомую вероятность:
Р(А)=Р(Н1)[$183$]Р(А|Н1)+Р(Н2)[$183$]Р(А|Н2)=(1/2)[$183$]0,9+(1/2)[$183$]0,8=1,7/2=0,85.
5
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