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Консультация № 166097
29.04.2009, 13:24
0.00 руб.
29.04.2009, 14:18
0
1
1
В больницу поступило 50% больных гриппом, 30% больных ангиной и 20% больных воспалением легких. Вероятность полного выздоровления на протяжении семи дней после гриппа составляет 0.9, после ангины и воспаления легких - 0.7 и 0.6 соответственно. Выписан больной, который полностью выздоровел. Найти вероятность того, что он был болен гриппом.
Приложение:
Помогите пожалуйста!
Приложение:
Помогите пожалуйста!
Обсуждение
09.09.2022, 17:48
общий
это ответ
Здравствуйте, Артём Игоревич!
Сформулируем гипотезы и укажем их вероятности:
1)
-- пациент болен гриппом, 
при этом вероятность полного выздоровления пациента в течение семи дней -- событие 
-- составляет 
2)
-- пациент болен ангиной, 
при этом вероятность полного выздоровления пациента в течение семи дней составляет 
3)
-- пациент болен воспалением лёгких, 
при этом вероятность полного выздоровления пациента в течение семи дней составляет 
Вычислим полную, или среднюю, вероятность события
Вычислим вероятность того, что пациент, который полностью выздоровел в течение семи дней, был болен гриппом:
Сформулируем гипотезы и укажем их вероятности:
1)
-- пациент болен гриппом, при этом вероятность полного выздоровления пациента в течение семи дней -- событие -- составляет 2)
-- пациент болен ангиной, при этом вероятность полного выздоровления пациента в течение семи дней составляет 3)
-- пациент болен воспалением лёгких, при этом вероятность полного выздоровления пациента в течение семи дней составляет Вычислим полную, или среднюю, вероятность события
Вычислим вероятность того, что пациент, который полностью выздоровел в течение семи дней, был болен гриппом:
Об авторе:
Facta loquuntur.
Facta loquuntur.
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