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Консультация № 203048
28.06.2022, 17:18
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Здравствуйте! Прошу помощи в следующем вопросе:
Фирма совершает сделки, 80 % из которых прибыльные,
а 20 % – неприбыльные. Вероятность банкротства фирмы за время t в случае,
когда она заключает прибыльные сделки, равна 0,01, а в случае заключения
неприбыльных сделок равна 0,7.
Определить вероятность банкротства фирмы за время t.
Фирма совершает сделки, 80 % из которых прибыльные,
а 20 % – неприбыльные. Вероятность банкротства фирмы за время t в случае,
когда она заключает прибыльные сделки, равна 0,01, а в случае заключения
неприбыльных сделок равна 0,7.
Определить вероятность банкротства фирмы за время t.
Обсуждение
28.06.2022, 18:08
общий
это ответ
Здравствуйте, paxomgeorge!
Примем, что вероятность совершения фирмой за время
прибыльных сделок равна 
а вероятность совершения неприбыльных сделок -- 
При этом условные вероятности события 
-- банкротства фирмы -- составляют 
Тогда искомая вероятность составляет
Символом "
" я обозначил арифметическое действие умножения.
Примем, что вероятность совершения фирмой за время
прибыльных сделок равна а вероятность совершения неприбыльных сделок -- При этом условные вероятности события -- банкротства фирмы -- составляют Тогда искомая вероятность составляетСимволом "
" я обозначил арифметическое действие умножения.
Об авторе:
Facta loquuntur.
Facta loquuntur.
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