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Консультация № 186974
18.12.2012, 23:24
88.31 руб.
0
6
2
Здравствуйте! Прошу помощи в следующем вопросе:
3 задание
3 задание
Обсуждение
18.12.2012, 23:54
общий
это ответ
Здравствуйте, roover!
Вероятность рождения человека 1 января
.
Пусть выбраны три человека. Тогда искомая вероятность есть
. Но т.к. мы наперёд не выбираем тройку людей, то другие выборы равнозначны. Выбрать трёх людей можно сначала выбрав одного из 200, потом одного из 199, и потом ещё одного из 198. Это 200*199*198 способов. Но это упорядоченная тройка людей. А нам порядок не важен. Так что делим на число перестановок этик трёх людей - 3! = 6 Т.о. искомая вероятность
.
Вероятность рождения человека 1 января
.Пусть выбраны три человека. Тогда искомая вероятность есть
. Но т.к. мы наперёд не выбираем тройку людей, то другие выборы равнозначны. Выбрать трёх людей можно сначала выбрав одного из 200, потом одного из 199, и потом ещё одного из 198. Это 200*199*198 способов. Но это упорядоченная тройка людей. А нам порядок не важен. Так что делим на число перестановок этик трёх людей - 3! = 6 Т.о. искомая вероятность.
19.12.2012, 23:41
общий
это ответ
Здравствуйте, roover!
Используем формулу Бернулли:
Для грубой оценки можно использовать локальную теорему Лапласа:
Используем формулу Бернулли:
Для грубой оценки можно использовать локальную теорему Лапласа:
5
20.12.2012, 00:14
общий
20.12.2012, 00:15
Адресаты:
В изначальном решении была ошибка. Посмотрите исправленную версию.
20.12.2012, 03:50
общий
Адресаты:
Если речь о примерном вычислении - то мой. Оценка по Лапласу получилась весьма грубой. А точное выражение есть и у Романа - оно то же.
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